The REAL Colorado COVID Dial

The official data coming from the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment (CDPHE) continues to plainly demonstrate that the changes in case data, hospitalizations, and coronavirus-attributed deaths are test-driven and entirely consistent with historical seasonal trends. In short, there is no pandemic. If there ever was one, it ended last summer.

Data from March 2020, recorded and available on Colorado’s COVID-19 website, continues to show a near-perfect correlation between the number of tests administered and the number of new positive cases. It also shows a near-perfect correlation between new cases and new hospitalizations, as well as coronavirus-related deaths versus cases. Coronavirus-linked deaths have risen in the winter months, but death always rises in the winter months.

The graph above shows a consistent pattern between new tests and new cases, with the difference rising as expected in fall and winter months where illness from all causes is always higher. Similarly, coronavirus-labeled hospitalizations follow a similar pattern. This is due to the specious definition of coronavirus hospitalization, which is a label given to any patient who tests positive via the entirely compromised PCR test (or is presumed positive) within 30 days of their hospitalization. Similarly, a case is anyone who tests positive, regardless of symptoms or infectiousness.

The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) of the coronavirus in Colorado has bottomed out at around 1.5%, or the same as a rough flu season, and is overwhelmingly affecting those already nearing the end of life – with over 90% of attributed deaths among Coloradoans aged 60 and older. Versus overall mortality, the coronavirus skews heavily towards the aged and those with compromised immunity (just like every other cause of illness and death).

In 2019, Coloradoans aged 60 and older represented 78.7% of deaths in the state, while they currently represent 90.12% of coronavirus-linked deaths. This is assuming we can trust the validity of the testing (we can’t), and that a coronavirus death is a person who died because of the syndrome.

The gray curve on the graph below represents the rate of hospitalizations versus total cases, which has bottomed out around 5-6%. Total hospitalizations versus total tests remains steadily under one percent. Most importantly for the societal health of Colorado, there is still no correlation (much less causation) between any of this data and the NPIs (Non-pharmaceutical interventions) forced by the state government like lockdowns, population density controls, or mandated face masks. A recent international study shows the same lack of effectiveness.

The real COVID-19 dial is simply the number of tests administered. Simply, if we turn the test dial up by administering more tests, we get higher numbers of coronavirus cases, hospitalizations, and deaths. If we turn the test dial down, we get less of all three. It bears reiterating that overall mortality in the United States was not greater in 2020 than in other years, and Colorado did better than other states in terms of official coronavirus statistics. This is likely due to Colorado’s better overall health, although liberal media outlets claim it’s due to the state’s higher education level making us more likely to follow the “science”. Apparently, the more educated a person is, the more likely they are to let someone else make their decisions.

The Colorado state government is entirely in control of the severity of this so-called pandemic and continues to manipulate data and public sentiment through careful narrative management and fear-driven sociological manipulation. The state can effectively end this pandemic the same way it was started – by moving the epidemiological goalposts through the redefinition of terms, procedures, and public expectations. Much like Governor Polis unilaterally moved the goalposts of the crazy COVID dial to allow businesses to reopen (likely due to tanking economic indicators), we can expect those in charge of Colorado governments to dial down the pandemic at the most politically opportune moment.